Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 82320.764439 86906.425610 91491.754302 96417.524712 101555.980088 106754.920592 112409.345282
2025-05-04 75244.739416 82297.217385 89547.109830 97546.778265 106115.843669 115009.124333 124926.240496
2025-05-11 69500.445136 78187.513724 87315.613926 97601.252795 108847.258504 120748.342356 134273.265363
2025-05-18 65175.395661 75082.368141 85685.142893 97842.312938 111360.725400 125895.684369 142668.929111
2025-05-25 61531.513790 72384.865889 84189.384882 97931.588237 113437.267736 130338.110851 150098.373603
2025-06-01 59084.415841 70812.685356 83752.369741 99018.675770 116465.265250 135708.503844 158463.075482
2025-06-08 56120.546216 68460.592972 82260.570262 98747.709064 117815.610794 139080.254026 164489.170641
2025-06-15 54518.028449 67567.794382 82338.704615 100183.804711 121040.798082 144527.017351 172848.065578
2025-06-22 52707.250495 66323.984069 81915.613656 100953.225705 123427.008645 148965.837691 180027.210928
2025-06-29 50708.064575 64756.939651 81024.189432 101090.847064 125006.974505 152422.632004 186039.579651
2025-07-06 48835.456828 63256.618717 80134.809682 101159.160157 126445.245511 155671.089035 191783.949335
2025-07-13 48019.866174 62995.209302 80690.462651 102924.512615 129881.289276 161265.274387 200307.427493
2025-07-20 47071.583606 62550.877415 81019.270149 104428.094661 133038.724414 166590.703097 208611.229047
2025-07-27 45784.048027 61635.974847 80734.074566 105153.889007 135241.432344 170781.238236 215589.158338
2025-08-03 44198.176844 60286.241132 79859.675468 105107.690842 136466.541962 173775.031218 221124.780002
2025-08-10 42844.606694 59180.922082 79243.926573 105340.957992 138002.834441 177126.926719 227091.905355
2025-08-17 41504.194768 58044.090431 78545.093855 105430.789271 139330.798284 180206.951500 232725.643235
2025-08-24 40726.726510 57606.816039 78706.340080 106583.682443 141971.892404 184897.993450 240351.657706
2025-08-31 39349.462290 56337.408039 77763.048104 106295.821684 142775.370354 187304.749579 245160.021305
2025-09-07 38834.278401 56187.777721 78245.104815 107820.046873 145864.722548 192555.998988 253518.056074
2025-09-14 38045.201129 55644.167565 78192.287985 108636.600315 148045.097706 196676.097989 260486.708671
2025-09-21 37014.838186 54742.698566 77642.418616 108782.644123 149349.759810 199690.593237 266078.381946
2025-09-28 36002.421135 53834.578566 77055.677333 108855.137851 150540.848983 202552.776919 271482.325661